It is good fodder though
At least it is useful to pass the long days of summer.
However, I do not think, as much as many want to believe it, that the Big-12 is going to have anyone exit. I expect 2 more teams to join. Who is up for debate, but it could be Texas and 9 little Div II schools and it would be a P5 conference. Texas has more money, more brand and well, more everything than any other program out there. They own their state and much of the states around them. They command what they want too and never have to ask anyone's permission. The only thing they lack is a winning team. That is probably in the works.
So long as Texas is in the Big-12 and the Big-12 is Texas, no one is going anywhere. None of the Texas schools would leave unless they were forced out. Oklahoma and OSU only have to contend with an old foe in Texas and not fall down the pecking order in another conference like PSU did. Kansas is a basketball school that dabbles in football, the Big-12 version of Wake and Duke. KState is not going any where without Kansas and Iowa State, if they were going anywhere would be the Big Ten and there is no chance that ever happens.
That leaves WVU. WVU went from pulling in 8 million a year in 2010 to pulling in perhaps as much as 45 million this year. Tier 3 is pulling in staggering amounts for them, more than made from the Big East for all sports. Why would they leave?
The ACC could be a good alternative but think about it. WVU plays Texas and Oklahoma every other year in Morgantown and Kansas basketball every year. What can the ACC for that on that annual basis? Maybe FSU every 5 years and even then it might be at FSU. Same with any of the other schools of stature. ND will not play there unless Jesus says so. VT would be on the schedule but how long would that last?
The feud between the two schools is ok now, but let 2 or 3 years of heated games pass by and see how quickly that turns. WVU does not like VT and VT does not like WVU. Not going to change. Outside of VT who would be a regular on their annual schedule to make them dump Texas, OU and Kansas? No one.
We are also assuming the GOR structure will be around to renew. It may become something else. The bowl system may change again, it seems too every 10 years. The P5 could break away and form their own league, then ND will be forced in or out. That may work for the ACC but I would not bet on it. If it ever gets to that, ND will join the Big Ten, regardless of any agreement they have signed. They could join the Big-12 but I would doubt that, the programs of the Big-12 are exciting as a drive through the middle of America's farm land as far as ND is concerned.
I have no idea how it will change but I tend to think changes will be smaller, piecemeal and not wholesale just because some agreement has expired.
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In response to this post by 33laszlo99)
Posted: 08/15/2018 at 9:33PM